The forecast and the floor
Gartner called 40% by Q4 2026. Deloitte measured 11% in production today.
29 points short of target with 6 months to the deadline. Enterprise AI budgets grew nearly 6× over the same period. More spend has not closed the gap.
Enterprise AI budget—2024
$1.2M
→
Enterprise AI budget—2026
$7M
Gartner (Aug 2025) · Deloitte State of Generative AI in the Enterprise (Q1 2026) · Deloitte 2024 Gen AI Enterprise Survey
Sources
Gartner, “Predicts 40% of Enterprise Apps Will Feature Task-Specific AI Agents by 2026” (August 2025). Gartner research note on agentic AI adoption trajectory.
Gartner, “Predicts 40%+ of Agentic AI Projects Will Be Abandoned by End of 2027” (2025). Gartner strategic planning assumption on enterprise failure rates.
Deloitte, “State of Generative AI in the Enterprise Q1 2026.” Survey of enterprise technology leaders. Reports 11% of enterprises with AI agents in active production; 25% including deployment-ready pipeline.
Deloitte 2024 Generative AI Enterprise Survey. Reports average enterprise AI spend of $1.2M in 2024, projected to $7M by 2026.